Investment Perspectives

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Historical Returns In Fed Rate-Cut Cycles May Hold Clues To Sector Performance Next Year

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As advisors anticipate the impact of the new Fed rate-cut cycle on client portfolios, many will probably rely on the conventional wisdom that cyclicals are likely to benefit the most.

How To Think About The Surprising U.S. Jobs Data

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September's labor market report shows economists are missing important drivers of U.S. strength.

Just When We Recalibrated, Another Shock Arrived

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The economy will likely grow above trend for yet another quarter or two. However, risks are rising for 2025.

America's Protectionist Policies Are Backfiring

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Unilateral US tariffs and economic sanctions have only raised prices for American consumers.

How My Hard Economic Landing Forecast Went Wrong

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But keep the champagne on ice. We're not in the clear just yet. The key to avoiding a recession lies in the labor market.

The Stock Market Is Becoming A Dumping Ground

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The quality of smaller listed companies has deteriorated as it gets easier to raise private capital.

Surge In Wealth Should Reduce Retirement Worries

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The wealth surge is having important effects on the economic environment.

Why Private Credit Beats Public Debt For Fixed Income Allocation

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The higher expense ratio of private investments shouldn't dissuade investors.

The Future For Financial Advisors Is On An App

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Financial professionals will use AI to invest and even communicate, but the human element will always be crucial.

The Debt That Shall Not Be Named

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On America's economic future, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump agree much more than meets the eye.

Retail Investors Won On Fees But Are Losing On Risk

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Gamified trading apps and niche ETFs have a cost that's harder to spot but is little different from the damage inflicted on portfolios by high fees.

Capital Asleep At The Wheel: Neglected Opportunities In Small Companies

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It's an exciting time to be an investor in small companies.

Paul Krugman And Inflation Shamanism

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The data clearly show that Fed policy has been mostly a non-factor in easing inflation.

The Fed Is A Poor Guide For Stock Investors

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The S&P 500 usually rises whether the central bank is raising or cutting rates. There are more reliable ways to decide on portfolio allocations.

Assessing Geostrategic Risks In Investment Portfolios

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New geostrategic focal points may present investors with requirements for new risk assessments, as well as interesting opportunities.

Mortgage Rates Puzzle Is A Worry For Housing And The Fed

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The logic of lowering borrowing costs to stimulate home purchases and spending may not apply this time around.

The Fed Should Go Big Now. I Think It Will.

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An aggressive 50-basis-point reduction in interest rates makes sense.

Why Real Estate-Focused ETFs Deserve Attention

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If interest rates get cut, real estate could benefit, and so could REIT exchange-traded funds.

Americans Have A New Piggy Bank To Raid: Their Houses

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Home equity loans are beginning to look more attractive after fading into irrelevance after the financial crisis.

3 ETF Categories That Could Benefit From Lower Rates

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Small companies could become the biggest beneficiaries.

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